Olivia Harlan Dekker, BetMGM Host, joins Cheddar Bets to break down the best plays across the NFC Divisional Round matchups.

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Finding Value on NFC Divisional Round Bets

we are through the wild card round of the NFL playoffs and now the top seeds in each conference take the field for this weekend's divisional round on saturday. The titans host the Bangles where we could see the return of star running back Derrick Henry after he suffered a foot injury earlier this season. Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers and the Packers host the 49 our saturday night on sunday we get a pair of regular season rematches, tom brady and bucks look to avenge an early season loss to the Rams in the afternoon while Pat Mahomes and the Chiefs look to do the same later in the evening against josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills joining us now to get into it. Bet MGm Host Olivia Harlan Dekker. Olivia. Let's go ahead and focus in on the NFC to start. The 40 niners and Packers will meet at Ic Lambeau field on saturday night. Packers are 5.5 point favorites here. Is there any way the 40 niners can pull off another upset? You think? Yeah, as a Packer fan, I'm a bit nervous. This is a tough matchup for Green Bay. Let me be clear. I think the Packers win, but I think it's going to be close and I like the 40 niners to cover probably lose by a field goal or so The way to beat Green Bay is running the football on offense last week with Elijah Mitchell back, they ran for 170 on Dallas that was the most of any team last week. In the wild card round. There's a lot of pre snap confusion which has proven very difficult for every opponent really confusing to prepare for even in Green Bay's defense struggles getting getting to the quarterback, They struggle in red zone efficiency and on third down those are three areas you need to be efficient in so that can make for a long night. A couple important things though. Jimmy Garoppolo is not 100% he hurt his throwing shoulder in the cowboys game and he was already dealing with that thumb injury. So Trey Lance's is back up and he's acting as Aaron Rodgers this week on scout team. So I'm not crazy about that aspect for the Niners odds in defensively san Francisco. They have such a strong defensive front that will rush the passer. They sacked Dak Prescott five times last week. However, I'm very curious to see what happens with Nick bosa. He did not practice today, He's going through concussion protocol and then on the other side Packers left tackle, David Bakhtiari, we thought we'd get him back this week. Now we're not so sure he didn't practice today. Um Neither did receiver marquise Valdez Scantlin. So those are two blows on offense for Green Bay but there's gonna be a good one I think 40 niners can cover. Um but definitely monitor those injuries. Yeah and this will be the third straight road game for the 40 niners. So you know that that is never easy. The total for this game is set at 46 a half points. Do you think there's enough firepower on the field to hit the over? Yeah, I do. I kind of like the over in this one. It's getting 54% of the bets and 85% of the money. That's a good sign. And I've got to agree with all those people, they probably know what they're talking about. Two. Moving on to sunday now the rams going to Tampa as three point underdogs to the Bucks. So do you think the rams be brady for a second time this season? I think they do obviously that's very difficult to do and I've changed my mind on this in the last 10 hours maybe. I think the rams cover for Tampa Bay Leonard Fournette is still questionable but what really raises my attention is that the center Ryan Jensen and their right tackle tristan worse are not practicing. Both got hurt last week and they're not sure if they'll go today and thursday's practice. Um so monitor that. It's probably right around when we're coming on air today that we're finding that out. Umm Stafford got his first playoff win, they crushed the cardinals and the addition of cam Akers. Now we've seen in the last two weeks and oh BJ, I mean it's it's a difference maker and that's what allowed them to put up so many points last week and that's a huge difference from when they faced Tampa Bay week three, not to mention this RAMs defense first half shutout last week, they were incredible. Um, and I think it's really that RAMs defense specifically the front seven that determines the result this week with von Miller, he gets to tom brady regardless of what jersey he's wearing and he looks pretty good in rams blue. So I like that defensive front to get after brady. I'm totally with you on this, but now the total for this game since 48 a half will be over hit in that florida sound. You think yes, because it always seems to in Tampa Bay and these teams have both proven they can put up points. And I feel the same way about the Chiefs Bills game. I think that both offenses will outshine the defense. So looking back at just last weekend, what do you think this year's wildcard round has taught you especially when it comes to betting on post season this year? Well we had a couple more blowouts than we would have liked, but uh, I think what it taught us is that you can't always trust trends because I came into every show I did last week saying there are not blowouts in the wild card round, like history proves that and if there's a big number, take the underdog because these games will be close. So it proved to me that I don't always know what I'm talking about despite being very confident. That's so humble of you to admit. I feel like I admit that every single week you have to know betting is a very humbling experience. Oh yeah. So it is time speaking of, by the way, it's time to share your weekend portfolio with the class. So you have a portfolio of your favorite bets from the upcoming sports weekend ready for us, One pick against the spread and over under and your favorite player props. So let's hear all three of your picks. Okay, well my against the spread has to be what I already talked about because it's the biggest number of the weekend. So 40 niners to cover. I like that one for my total. I'm thinking over 54 a half. Bills Chiefs, like I mentioned. I know they both have good defenses, especially Buffalo, but the offense is the story here for both Mahomes and Allen are the first quarterbacks each throw for five touchdowns in the previous playoff games. So we're seeing history here. I I just love it. And my prop that I'm loving for this weekend is Bengals running back joe Mixon have over 3.5 catches. That's a plus 1, 35. That's great value. And that number 3.5 has hit the last three games. He's had as many as seven receptions in the last three games. So Olivia, your lock of the week is gonna be joe Mixon catching at least four passes from joe burrow this week. Well I'm, of course I like hate to admit this. I'm writing my Buffalo bills until the end of the line. I mean at this point I'm like fully committed to this and I seem to be doing okay. So I'm gonna keep going with it last week, by the way, was the best Bills game I've ever seen in my 30 years of life. So I'm just gonna keep writing off of that. I was close to making the rams my lock against Tampa Bay but this alan versus Mahomes rematch is just too good to pass up. So okay, Olivia, last thing with you as we know, there's always so much football to discuss every single week. So we wanted to go through some rapid fire questions with you so are you ready for the buzzer beater? Yes, let's go. Alright. First one, which teams impressed you the most in the wild card round? I think I know this answer, I've got to say the rams, they came out swinging and deserved every bit of that win after having people doubt them the last couple of weeks and talk about a comeback story from Matthew Stafford best chance for an upset this weekend. Well all the home teams are favorites. The only one I see winning is Buffalo, you're welcome Hannah, this is just so evenly matched of these high octane offenses. Um, so I don't know, I'm a Chiefs fan and I'm working the game so I'm not playing this one. But I could see Buffalo pulling the upset best anytime touchdown scorer bets for the 40 niners and packers. Um I've got to say Davante Adams, I'm not sure the number right now, but I just feel like he's Aaron Rodgers comfort blanket and I always liked him to score a touchdown in these games. Best anytime touchdown scorer bets for the rams of bucks. I like rams running back cam Akers mostly for the value. That's a plus 1 42. He didn't score last week in his first game back or his first playoff game back and they're getting him geared up for a big game. So I like him to come back this week. R 14 Playoff Teams Too Many. No, I think the wildcard weekend should be chaos. Um there should be that last chance on the cusp team san Francisco for one. Um So I'm surprised that some of the blowouts like I said, but now the real action starts but I like kind of a chaotic weird wild card weekend. You worked Chief Steelers game last weekend. So what do you think is the best moment from that experience? Well I got to work with my dad doing play by play so that's really special. Probably just riding to and from arrowhead together. It's so unique and we definitely enjoyed every second. I told myself I was just going to be present and enjoy it because these moments go by really fast. Yeah, nothing like some good bonding time like that Olivia. Thank you so much for joining us as always. That was Bet MGM Host Olivia Harlan Dekker. New customers can win $200 in free bets when they place a $10 money line wager on any playoff game and either team scores a touchdown. Use bonus code cheddar. There is nothing like a bet. MgM Wynn.