From net neutrality to new tax legislation, there are many factors that could impact the markets in 2018. Commonwealth Financial Network CIO Brad McMillan and Icon Advisors CIO Craig Callahan share their outlooks for the year ahead.
"December has been messy, with people trying to guess the effects of net neutrality and the tax bill," says Callahan. "But we expect the leadership from last year to continue into next year." Callahan says he expects the market to move up about 10 percent in 2018 from a very neutral pricing seen today.
"I think we've already seen all the good things that we are going to see here," says McMillan. "Even though this will be positive in the short run, it's going to be a one-off effect." McMillan says after we get past the next quarter, he doesn't expect to see much impact from tax reform in the markets.
Chair Jerome Powell says the Federal Reserve only expects to cut rates once in 2024. But at least, as one economist says, ‘rate hikes are off the table.’
With the Fed likely set to leave rates unchanged, lower and middle income Americans will continue dealing with higher credit card interest and expenses.
Markets soared in May after Nvidia’s Q1 success, but concerns over slowing consumer spending, especially among middle—and lower-income groups, loom large.